This weekend, we have a 14-fight card in Brazil. DraftKings has some decent competitions available with this Fight Night card, which can be uncommon for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I will be chasing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs too. However, this week DraftKings has two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib battle. Hotel, flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor seats competition is a $33 entry along with the non-floor seats competition is simply a $15 entrance. I will have to take a few shots at that too. Additionally, DraftKings simply released a competition for UFC 299 that’s a $10 entry with a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That’s by far the biggest prize we’ve seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we are able to take some additional shots at that $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I like this week as well as my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the strongest triumph on the card and I think she gets this fight ended early. That is where I am starting my cash LUs weekly. Only give me the -1100 favorite who is being fed up an easy win , for my money games. I really do like a lot of the top favorites on this particular card, I simply are the most shocked when Souza lost. I think she’s fine in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, so money games are the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Take this win, then find 3 others and you should be useful in money games.
GPP play of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a large Charles”Do Bronx” Oliveira fan, and he’s some of my own favorites in UFC history. I think we could see another amazing one here. This battle seems simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and if he could get it then he likely receives a 1st round sub. If that happens he should lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty certain in being the outcome of the struggle, so that is why he’s my GPP drama of this week. He’s also my GPP play of the week, and not my Cash play of the week for a motive. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely stop and get completed himself together with strikes. I don’t like that risk of a reduced floor for my own cash LU, so I favor Souza there. But in GPPs I like saving the $200 and moving down to perform Bronx.
Underdog drama of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders more if he wasn’t taking this fight on short notice, and if it wasn’t in Brazil. However he does have a very clear route to victory here and that’s by knocking outside Santos who does not have a great chin. Anders could also opt for takedowns in this fight and he could win with some tough GNP as well. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU when he’s ready to acquire the KO. This is the major event, so he will have 5 rounds to function with. I do think this is a solid matchup for Anders, but he must be competitive and not hang out on the exterior. When he hangs out on the outside too long Santos will consume him up with kicks and it could be a short night for Anders. I will pick him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you’re able to get your other five spots right also.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. Last time I wrote him up as my fade of the week here, I was quite wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it, if that happens here. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO triumph to cover off a $9.2k salary by a guy who doesn’t throw several strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points from Alvey when I roster him and the only way get caught that is with a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not willing to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on every struggle, my private strategies & recommendations, and also my selection outlook for every fight then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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